【铁矿石回归700 中长线可以考虑抄底了吗？】金十期货4月17日讯，海外方面，巴西淡水河谷（Vale）发布2025年第一季度产销报告，一季度铁矿石总产量为6766.4万吨，环比减少20.7%，同比减少4.5%。国内方面，港口现货价格有所下跌，日照港PB粉765元/吨下跌5元/吨，卡粉854元/吨下跌5元/吨，超特粉620元/吨下跌5元/吨。247家钢厂日均铁水产量240.22万吨。中辉期货分析师吴明近认为，铁矿基本面整体矛盾不大，港口库存持续去化，但市场预期后续钢材出口会受到抑制，贸易摩擦仍有反复风险，铁矿短期大概率继续震荡寻底运行为主。策略上，“四大矿山”掌握了铁矿石主要定价权甚至是钢铁行业主要话语权的情况下，不建议过度看空铁矿石，短线抄底需关注国内政策维稳情况。打开铁矿石主连月k图可以发现，中长线在700下方择机低吸2510合约或更具性价比。
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