高盛:予友邦保险(01299)买入评级 目标价90港元

智通财经网
17 Apr

智通财经APP获悉,高盛发布研报称,友邦保险(01299)将于4月30日(周三)开盘前公布2025年运营指标。预计新业务价值(VONB)增长7%,其中中国香港和泰国两位数增长部分抵消中国大陆业务下滑以及新加坡和马来西亚业务增长乏力的影响,12个月目标价为90港元。

中国大陆业务同比下滑,主要受利润率和销售方面的压力影响,包括:一是2025财年VONB计算中大幅下调长期债券收益率假设;二是产品组合向分红型产品转变,利润率虽降低,但利润流更稳定;三是销售高基数效应。该行认为风险回报颇具吸引力,在市场波动加剧时,友邦保险的资产负债表优势可抵消销售(受高关税影响)下行风险。

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