【宏观不确定性较大 市场情绪尚待企稳】金十期货4月17日讯，国际方面，美联储主席鲍威尔强调其观望态度，降息预期受打击；特朗普称与日本的关税谈判取得“重大进展”。国内方面，关注有关方面维稳市场信心举措。中辉期货分析师吴明近认为，综合来看，关税影响持续，市场情绪较为敏感，短期求稳观望为主，操作上严格风险管理。1、原油：因市场担忧伊朗供应受扰，以及OPEC产油国提交进一步削减石油产量以弥补超产的最新计划，国际原油短线反弹，国内原油以及油化工日内小幅跟涨。国际WTI原油关注60美元得失，国内原油主力在500大关下方企稳后、再考虑轻仓试多或更具性价比。2、螺纹：据Mysteel，截至4月17日当周，螺纹钢表需连续第九周增加，厂库、产量由增转降，社库连续第六周减少。自身供需情况继续改善，十分难得，但上下游产业链矛盾相对突出，煤钢之争在传统旺季上演，“银四”基本落空。螺纹短期内大概率弱势震荡为主，关注“择机降息降准”利多预期落地情况。
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