一、特朗普言论成金价暴涨导火索
4月22日,特朗普发布 “谁拥有黄金,谁就制定规则” 的帖文后,现货黄金开盘即跳涨,一度突破 3360 美元 / 盎司。曾金策分析,白宫与美联储矛盾公开化进一步助推金价,特朗普对鲍威尔的不满,动摇了美元稳定性,黄金作为信用货币对立面,价格随之飙升。
二、言论背后的真相与市场误读
该表述源于西方谚语,原指财富主导规则制定权,市场或存在误读。曾金策认为,特朗普此举或意在强调美国经济主导权,正值贸易谈判关键期,言论却意外点燃黄金市场。
三、曾金策:多重因素支撑金价上涨
曾金策分析,特朗普关税政策带来的避险需求是金价上涨主因。历史数据显示,黄金与美债收益率、美元利率负相关。当下美国经济不稳,全球去美债化、美元化趋势下,黄金成为重要对冲工具。引用中信证券研报,特朗普政策虽带来波动,但对美元体系的损伤将抬升黄金价格中枢。
四、曾金策操作建议:回调做多为主
曾金策观察到,受特朗普言论影响,金价冲击 3400 美元关口。从技术面看,多头趋势强劲。建议,投资者可关注 3345-3335 美元支撑位,回调企稳后再考虑轻仓做多,止损设 3315 美元下方,目标看向 3415 美元上方。
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