【USDA海外局:菲律宾新一年度原糖产量料持稳于185万吨】金十期货4月21日讯,据外媒报道,根据美国农业部对外农业服务局(USDA—FAS)驻马尼拉分部近日发布的报告,菲律宾2026年度原糖产量预计将稳定在185万吨,原因为当前的土地转换使得未来甘蔗种植面积不太可能扩大。马尼拉分部估计,当前的2025年度(2024年10月至2025年9月)原糖产量将达到185万吨,较菲律宾政府预测的178万吨高出近4%。展望未来,报告指出,“2026年度甘蔗种植面积将保持平稳。有限的扩张区域可以取代农业用地向住宅和工业用途的持续转换。”尽管本年度的糖厂价格呈下降趋势,但报告预计农民将期待2026年度价格上涨,从而继续种植甘蔗。报告预计,甘蔗总收割面积将保持在38.9万公顷,估计甘蔗产量为2180万吨。需求方面,报告预测,菲律宾原糖需求将连续第三个年度保持220万吨不变,价格上涨或将继续抑制消费增长。
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