国际金价迭创新高,周二首次触及每盎斯3500美元,最多升2.2%,至3500.1美元,收市报3381.36美元,倒跌1.26%。纽约期金最高报3509.9美元。摩根大通称,随着美国关税和中美贸易战加剧,经济衰退可能性增加,金价或将在明年突破4000美元的里程碑。
摩通在报告中预计,到今年第四季,黄金均价将达到3675美元,明年第二季料将超过4000美元;若需求超出预期,则存在提前突破以上预测水平的风险。支撑预估明年金价将迈向4000美元的原因是投资者和央行持续强劲的黄金需求。今年平均每季度净需求约为710吨。摩通表示,就黄金的潜在看跌因素而言,央行需求意外下降仍是最大的基本面风险。另外,监于工业需求的不确定性,近期白银将面临更大的阻力,年底白银价格势将升向每盎斯39美元。
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