Bitunix分析师:共和党挺Fed独立降政治压力,6月降息预期升温,BTC震荡关注86K/83K关键位

Blockbeats
Yesterday

BlockBeats 消息,4 月 21 日,肯尼迪参议员表态支持联准会独立性,强调总统无权罢免鲍威尔,回应特朗普“可轻易让其下台”言论。此举有助缓解市场对政治干预的疑虑。

根据 CME FedWatch,5 月维持利率(4.25–4.50%)几率达 86.8%,降息几率仅 13.2%;但 6 月降息几率已超过 75%,显示市场押注联准会或于夏季转向宽松政策。

Bitunix 分析师建议,美元走弱与降息预期推动避险需求,BTC 持续于 86K 压力与 83K 支撑间震荡,长期支撑位于 76K。建议投资者留意宏观数据,做好风控,把握潜在转折机会。

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