华尔街最大的多头之一正在放弃对今年股市大幅上涨的预期,认为关税对美国企业造成最沉重打击。Bankim Chadha领导的德意志银行策略师团队将年底标普500指数目标下调12%,至6,150点。尽管这较周三收盘价仍有14%的上行空间,但意味着该指数仅能收复自2月见顶以来的失地。在此之前,他们一直持有对该基准指数最乐观的观点。Chadha的团队还预计标普500指数今年盈利将下降5%,而普遍预期为增长8%。“鉴于已宣布的关税可能带来的影响巨大,并且可能对美国公司造成不成比例的冲击,我们将标普500指数2025年每股收益预期从282美元下调至240美元,”策略师们在报告中写道,并补充称共识预期存在进一步下调的风险。
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