关税谈判正在推进,黄金波幅加剧

金十财经
24 Apr

【关税谈判正在推进,黄金波幅加剧】金十期货特约光大期货点评:4月23日,COMEX黄金价格下跌2.67%至3301.50美元/盎司,沪金主连下跌3.47%至782.10元/克。关税方面,美国国家经济委员会主任表示本周安排了14场关税会议。降息方面,美联储哈玛克表示在政策不确定性之际,提前行动的时机并不合适,美联储介入以援助市场必须有一个很高的门槛。最新CME“美联储观察”数据显示,5月维持利率不变的概率为94.6%,降息25个基点的概率为5.4%,到6月维持利率不变的概率为41.2%,累计降息25个基点的概率为55.8%,累计降息50个基点的概率为3.1%。综合而言,随着特朗普关税谈判推进,围绕着关税的调整时机也在临近,关注市场对避险需求是否在减弱。

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