高盛经济学家:预计今夏美国经济数据将走弱

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比推消息,高盛经济学家预测,由于关税和政策不确定性给经济带来压力,美国第四季度 GDP 将仅比 2024 年第四季度增长 0.5%。目前,企业和消费者调查显示经济放缓,但官方经济数据尚未显示出这一迹象。他们推断,经济指标可能会在夏季中下旬开始更清楚地显示出衰退。“最近几周数据的演变与之前的‘事件驱动型’增长放缓一致。不过,要从目前有限的数据中得出强有力的结论还为时过早。”

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