e-mini标普500指数期货的反弹正好止步于十周多次触碰的下降趋势线。再加上比特币从上周五高点回落3.2%，这可能会说服短线交易员去押注美股本周将跌得更厉害。

　　对于一种加密货币来说，3.2%的回调听起来可能并不稀奇，但这其实已经是比特币自4月15/16日下跌约10%以来最大的高点-低点跌幅了。这将鼓励散户相信e-mini期货的看跌技术形态。此外，一系列对周三美国GDP数据的负面展望则会起到推波助澜的作用。据预测，对2025年增长率的共识预测于周五降至1.43%。这个数字是两个月前在2.3%见顶的，当时市场洋溢着对特朗普总统将让美国再次伟大起来的早期乐观情绪。

　　第一季度GDP料环比增长0.4%，而前一季度为增长2.4%。考虑到这还是特朗普宣布所谓的“解放日”大棒之前的一段时间，这一放缓力度不可谓不大。

 

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责任编辑：刘明亮

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