The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for World Kinect Corporation (NYSE:WKC), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with the analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon.
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Following the latest downgrade, the three analysts covering World Kinect provided consensus estimates of US$37b revenue in 2025, which would reflect a definite 8.5% decline on its sales over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to bounce 349% to US$1.50. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$43b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.67 in 2025. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a measurable cut to revenue estimates and a large cut to earnings per share numbers as well.
See our latest analysis for World Kinect
Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the US$30.60 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 11% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 13% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 3.5% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - World Kinect is expected to lag the wider industry.
The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. The lack of change in the price target is puzzling in light of the downgrade but, with a serious decline expected this year, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were a bit wary of World Kinect.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for World Kinect going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies backed by insiders.
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