高盛发表研报指,中国铁塔首季业绩表现符合此前指引,收入及净利润分别按年增长3.3%及8.6%。投资者普遍对派息比率增长速度放缓及电信营运商5G相关资本开支下降感到忧虑,高盛指由于大部分塔类资产将达到可折旧年期,预期折旧费用下降将令中国铁塔2026年净利润实现强劲一次性增长,目前预测2026年总折旧成本将减少60亿元,将推动全年净利润将按年增长45%。
计及预测派息比率达76.5%,高盛目前估计铁塔2026年股息回报率将达6.6%,与中国移动和中国联通水平相若。因应首季业绩表现,高盛将中国铁塔2025至2027年收入预测下调0.8%、1.4%及1.4%,纯利预测下调3.7%、4.1%、4.3%,目标价从13港元降至12.5港元,评级“中性”。
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