【市场风险偏好回归压制金价，短期或以回调为主】金十期货4月28日讯，4月25日，COMEX黄金先跌后涨，报收3330.2美元/盎司，跌幅0.55%。国内SHFE金夜盘低开，小幅反弹，报收785.34元/克，跌幅0.77%。1. 周末市场风险情绪略有回归。随着特朗普周二“改口”，不再威胁要罢免美联储主席鲍威尔，且对华态度缓和，风险偏好回归，欧股美股指普遍全周累涨。避险品种黄金在周二创盘中历史新高后震荡回落，周五未能保住周四的反弹势头。进入5月份，虽然特朗普政府态度仍会反复，但在发债压力下总体相比4月份或将缓和，另外俄乌冲突重新进入和谈窗口期，中东局势虽局部升温但未扩散至石油核心产区，市场对“避险溢价”的定价趋于理性，因此短期黄金或以回调为主，顺势消化4月中下旬金价快速回涨带来的超买压力。2. 不过，美国国债规模突破36万亿美元，债务货币化加剧全球对美元储备地位的质疑，而特朗普极端的关税政策加剧了全球对美元的不信任，黄金作为“非主权资产”的替代需求脱颖而出，成为支撑价格上涨的长期核心逻辑，COMEX期金与伦敦现货溢价一度扩大至15美元/盎司，反映实物交割需求的旺盛。在美关税政策不确定性、美元信用松动、滞胀环境以及央行持续购金下，跌幅或相对有限，关注本周美国非农数据指引。
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