高盛策略师表示，日元是短期对冲澳元，长期对冲美元风险的好货币。

　　策略师Karen Reichgott Fishman和Stuart Jenkins在周四的一份报告中写道，美元/日元在未来12个月应会跌至135，风险倾向于“更早”达到这一水平或更低。

　　他们表示，日元/美元成为一种有效的对冲工具，因为美元将解除近年来高估的局面，很有可能会转为低估；“如果美国像我们目前预期的那样能避免经济衰退，或许堪堪避过”，那么它的表现应该会优于其他日元交叉汇率。

　　高盛称，战术性做空澳元/日元，因股市风险偏向下行，且美元抛售的速度使得该货币对面临战术性波动的风险。

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责任编辑：王永生

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