【多位官员发表鸽派言论,助力黄金走势】金十期货特约光大期货点评:4月24日,COMEX黄金价格上涨1.81%至3361.30美元/盎司,沪金主连上涨1.02%至796.46元/克。降息方面,美联储卡什卡利表示一些企业表示如果不确定性持续,他们正进行潜在裁员的情境规划;沃勒表示随着失业率上升,降息或将开启;哈玛克表示美联储需要保持耐心,目前调整利率还为时过早,如果需要,美联储将迅速采取行动。除此之外,美国总统特朗普表示美联储应该降息,希望美联储降息,再次批评美联储行动迟缓。最新CME“美联储观察”数据显示,5月维持利率不变的概率为91.7%,降息25个基点的概率为8.3%,到6月维持利率不变的概率为37.3%,累计降息25个基点的概率为57.8%,累计降息50个基点的概率为4.9%。综合而言,近期美联储官员表态有所转变,关注市场对6月美联储的降息预期是否会发生明显变化。
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