America's Tariffs Just Supercharged China's E-Commerce Empire

GuruFocus.com
Yesterday

China's top tech and e-commerce players are ramping up a coordinated domestic pivot as US tariffs threaten to disrupt their export-driven business models. JD.com (NASDAQ:JD) has committed to purchasing over $27 billion worth of goods from exporters, PDD Holdings Inc.'s Temu (NASDAQ:PDD) is investing $14 billion to boost local sales, and Alibaba Group (NYSE:BABA) is opening new supermarket channels to absorb excess inventory. Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU) and Tencent are providing advertising and platform support to small exporters. These moves, combined with government stimulus, helped lift China's retail sales by 5.9% last monththe strongest growth since December 2023and signaled a unified strategy to blunt the impact of prolonged trade tensions.

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Meanwhile, American consumers are not retreating. Despite looming price hikes, downloads of Alibaba's app are up 34% year-to-date, DHGate has surged 78%, and Taobao has skyrocketed 420%, according to Sensor Tower. This demand has come even as Alibaba cut US ad spending by 45%, reflecting deep-seated US consumer dependence on cheap Chinese imports. The fallout, however, is starting to pinch Silicon Valley giants like Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) and Alphabet's Google (NASDAQ:GOOG), who have seen advertising revenues decline as major Chinese clients like Temu and PDD pull back. Viral campaigns by Chinese suppliers showcasing product quality and manufacturing prowess have further accelerated cross-border interest.

While the domestic push has provided short-term relief, the long-term trajectory remains highly uncertain. If tariff escalations continue, Chinese platforms could face new hurdles keeping American consumers engaged. But the early evidence is telling: tariffs have so far strengthened China's internal economy while intensifying US shoppers' reliance on bargain imports. If trade tensions tip the US into a recession, the demand for cheaper goods may only deepen, undermining the very goals Washington sought to achieve.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

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