伦敦皇家资产管理高级经济学家Melanie Baker在报告中表示，仍预期美联储2025年将进行两次降息，但时间不会早于下半年，届时经济预计会出现更明确的放缓迹象。她指出，衰退风险已经上升，全球和美国的经济增长前景已经恶化。不过，目前她仍处于“经济放缓”阵营，而非“经济衰退”阵营，因为对等关税暂停，而且有迹象表明特朗普正对市场压力作出回应。
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