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FOMO CORP.

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市值：107.40

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【FOMC声明：委员们一致同意此次的利率决定】美联储FOMC声明显示，委员们一致同意此次的利率决定。

【FOMC声明：失业率“稳定” 劳动力市场依然“强劲”】美联储FOMC声明显示，失业率“稳定”，劳动力市场依然“强劲”。重申通胀“仍然略显偏高”。删去有关通胀朝目标取得进展的表述。

【FOMC声明前：美联储今夜按兵不动的概率为99.5%】据CME“美联储观察”：美联储1月维持利率不变的概率为99.5%，降息25个基点的概率为0.5%。到3月维持当前利率不变的概率为71.6%，累计降息25个基点的概率为28.2%，累计降息50个基点的概率为0.1%。到5月维持当前利率不变的概率为52.7%，累计降息25个基点的概率为39.7%，累计降息50个基点的概率为7.6%。

美联储FOMC声明：经济活动持续以稳健的速度扩张。

FOMC声明前：美联储今夜按兵不动的概率为99.5%

美联储FOMC将于十分钟后公布利率决议。

金十整理：本次美联储FOMC会议预期看点一览

BMO：密切关注FOMC正将注意力转向结束QT的任何迹象

三菱日联：FOMC料持谨慎态度支撑美元，但关税政策才是关键

道明证券：美联储料按兵不动，未来政策走向或更受特朗普影响

机构前瞻美联储利率决议：“按兵不动”几成定局

机构前瞻美联储利率决议：“按兵不动”几成定局

【期货报告】今日需关注的期货数据与事件提醒（2025年01月29日）周三1. 英国至1月29日LME铜、镍、铝库存变化值

【经济学家：美联储将跳过降息，但希望保持灵活性】美联储利率决定将于北京时间明日凌晨公布，预计官员们将保持利率不变。安永经济学家Gregory Daco表示，美联储将跳过降息，但他们希望尽可能保持灵活性，以在全年内进一步调整。美联储观察人士预计，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）不会对其声明做出太多修改。Daco表示，目前有关“额外调整的程度和时间”的措辞已经赋予了政策制定者根据经济状况在必要时改变方法的灵活性。投资者还希望从鲍威尔那里听到更多关于所谓的“中性利率”的看法。官员们过去一年一直在提高他们对中性利率的估计。如果许多政策制定者认为利率已接近这一水平，这不仅意味着未来降息速度将放缓，而且总的降息次数也将减少。

经济学家：美联储将跳过降息，但希望保持灵活性

【周三（1月29日）重点关注财经事件和经济数据】 ①08:30 澳大利亚第四季度CPI年率、12月加权CPI年率； ②15:00 德国2月Gfk消费者信心指数； ③17:00 瑞士1月ZEW投资者信心指数； ④22:45 加拿大央行公布利率决议； ⑤23:30 美国至1月24日当周EIA原油库存、EIA战略石油储备库存； ⑥次日03:00 美联储FOMC公布利率决议； ⑦次日03:30 美联储主席鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。

【高盛：美联储将避免为3月的政策行动提供前瞻指引】高盛预计，明天的美联储1月利率决议不会提供什么新信息。FOMC可能会在声明中承认劳动力市场企稳的迹象，但不太可能为3月份的政策行动提供前瞻性指引。预计关税将导致温和的、一次性的通胀上升，美联储可能会忽略这一点。从历史上看，美联储官员一直淡化关税的通胀影响，更多地关注潜在的GDP影响。高盛预计，2025年将有两次25个基点的降息，一次在6月，另一次在12月，2026年还会有一次降息。

高盛：美联储将避免为3月的政策行动提供前瞻指引

CME美联储观察：美联储1月降息25个基点的概率仅存2.7%

观点：FOMC悲观预期影响下，加密货币进入避险模式

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PIMCO：美联储或将“在可预见的未来”维持利率不变，甚至可能提高借贷成本，官员们正在等待对特朗普政策的明朗化。\n4. 高盛集团：料本次会议不会提供太多新信息，不太可能为 3 月份的政策行动提供前瞻性指引，今年将分别在 6 月和 9 月降息 25BP。\n5. 美国银行：料维持利率不变，经济数据趋于稳定，或上调对就业市场的预期。鲍威尔可能会为 3 月份的政策决定保留最大灵活性。\n6. 摩根大通：料将维持利率不变，不会排除在 3 月会议上采取行动的可能性，关注美联储是否以及如何将特朗普的政策纳入其政策审议。\n7. 安永：数据显示经济稳健，通胀比预期更顽固。料本周将暂停降息，尽可能保留更多选择权，以便在今年进一步调整联邦基金利率。（金十）\n","market":"us","thumbnail":null,"type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"zh","translate_title":"","themeId":"a694fed9ac1759e8f7e9501aee3b5f73","theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://www.odaily.news/newsflash/416166?source=share","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"odaily_live","symbols":["IE00BLSP4452.SGD","LU0070302665.USD","SPXU","LU0648000940.SGD","LU0106831901.USD","IE00BBT3K403.USD","LU0306807586.USD","US2Y.BOND","BK4585","LU1496350502.SGD","SPY",".SPX","SSO","LU1201861165.SGD","LU0170899867.USD","LU1883839398.USD","LU1880398471.USD","US10Y.BOND","BK4588","SDS","HK0000934320.USD","LU0256863811.USD","ESmain","TNmain","LU0971096721.USD","US7Y.BOND","ZFmain","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD","US12M.BOND","US30Y.BOND","LU0320765489.SGD","OEX","ZNmain","US5Y.BOND","BAC","ZTmain","BK4550","US3Y.BOND","OEF","UBmain","US6M.BOND","161121","FOMC","IVV","UPRO","LU0321505439.SGD","LU0320765646.SGD","SH","ZBmain"],"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2507795633","title":"机构前瞻美联储利率决议：“按兵不动”几成定局","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2507795633","media":"世链财经","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2507795633?lang=zh_cn&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-01-29 19:54","pubTimestamp":1738151640,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"1 月 29 日，机构前瞻美联储利率决议如下：1. 渣打银行：本月料按兵不动，在降息问题上采取观望态度，怀疑鲍威尔不会希望 FOMC 在现阶段进一步采取鹰派立场。2. 瑞典北欧斯安银行：料将维持利率不变，并等待更多有关特朗普总统政策的数据和信息，2025 年料在 5 月和 9 月降息两次。3. 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英国至1月29日LME铜、镍、铝库存变化值","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2507766425","media":"金十财经","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2507766425?lang=zh_cn&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-01-29 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Daco表示，美联储将跳过降息，但他们希望尽可能保持灵活性，以在全年内进一步调整。美联储观察人士预计，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）不会对其声明做出太多修改。Daco表示，目前有关“额外调整的程度和时间”的措辞已经赋予了政策制定者根据经济状况在必要时改变方法的灵活性。投资者还希望从鲍威尔那里听到更多关于所谓的“中性利率”的看法。官员们过去一年一直在提高他们对中性利率的估计。如果许多政策制定者认为利率已接近这一水平，这不仅意味着未来降息速度将放缓，而且总的降息次数也将减少。","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2507977573","media":"金融界","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2507977573?lang=zh_cn&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-01-29 08:25","pubTimestamp":1738110319,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"美联储利率决定将于北京时间明日凌晨公布，预计官员们将保持利率不变。安永经济学家Gregory Daco表示，美联储将跳过降息，但他们希望尽可能保持灵活性，以在全年内进一步调整。美联储观察人士预计，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）不会对其声明做出太多修改。Daco表示，目前有关“额外调整的程度和时间”的措辞已经赋予了政策制定者根据经济状况在必要时改变方法的灵活性。投资者还希望从鲍威尔那里听到更多关于所谓的“中性利率”的看法。官员们过去一年一直在提高他们对中性利率的估计。如果许多政策制定者认为利率已接近这一水平，这不仅意味着未来降息速度将放缓，而且总的降息次数也将减少。","market":"us","thumbnail":"","type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"zh","translate_title":"","themeId":"a694fed9ac1759e8f7e9501aee3b5f73","theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://24h.jrj.com.cn/2025/01/29082547884165.shtml","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"jinrongjie_stock","symbols":["SDS","FOMC","US7Y.BOND","US12M.BOND","US3Y.BOND","BK4077","BK4581","SH","BK4550","SSO","IVV","SPY","US10Y.BOND","US5Y.BOND","US6M.BOND","ESmain","BK4585",".SPX","US30Y.BOND","BK4504","BK4559","UPRO","BK4588","BK4534","US2Y.BOND","OEX","SPXU","OEF"],"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2507573649","title":"经济学家：美联储将跳过降息，但希望保持灵活性","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2507573649","media":"美港电讯","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2507573649?lang=zh_cn&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-01-29 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瑞士1月ZEW投资者信心指数； ④22:45 加拿大央行公布利率决议； ⑤23:30 美国至1月24日当周EIA原油库存、EIA战略石油储备库存； ⑥次日03:00 美联储FOMC公布利率决议； ⑦次日03:30 美联储主席鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2507527708","media":"金融界","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2507527708?lang=zh_cn&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-01-29 07:05","pubTimestamp":1738105505,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"①08:30 澳大利亚第四季度CPI年率、12月加权CPI年率； ②15:00 德国2月Gfk消费者信心指数； ③17:00 瑞士1月ZEW投资者信心指数； ④22:45 加拿大央行公布利率决议； ⑤23:30 美国至1月24日当周EIA原油库存、EIA战略石油储备库存； ⑥次日03:00 美联储FOMC公布利率决议； ⑦次日03:30 美联储主席鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。","market":"us","thumbnail":"","type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"zh","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://24h.jrj.com.cn/2025/01/29070547883894.shtml","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"jinrongjie_stock","symbols":["BK4550","IVV","SH","SPY","OEF","BK4559","BK4534","SSO","BK4581","BK4585","US5Y.BOND","US7Y.BOND","UPRO","OEX","US6M.BOND","BK4588","US12M.BOND","FOMC","US2Y.BOND","BK4077","SPXU","EIA","US10Y.BOND","US30Y.BOND","US3Y.BOND","BK4504","ESmain",".SPX","SDS"],"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2507542668","title":"【高盛：美联储将避免为3月的政策行动提供前瞻指引】高盛预计，明天的美联储1月利率决议不会提供什么新信息。FOMC可能会在声明中承认劳动力市场企稳的迹象，但不太可能为3月份的政策行动提供前瞻性指引。预计关税将导致温和的、一次性的通胀上升，美联储可能会忽略这一点。从历史上看，美联储官员一直淡化关税的通胀影响，更多地关注潜在的GDP影响。高盛预计，2025年将有两次25个基点的降息，一次在6月，另一次在12月，2026年还会有一次降息。","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2507542668","media":"金融界","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2507542668?lang=zh_cn&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-01-29 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19:52","pubTimestamp":1737978772,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"Odaily星球日报讯 由于周三 FOMC 会议前看跌情绪加剧和宏观经济不确定性增加，比特币已跌至 100,000 美元以下。与此同时，中国 DeepSeek 人工智能技术的突破扰乱了科技市场，也引发了避险行为并刺激避险需求。\n加密货币市场本周开盘即进入避险模式，比特币自 1 月 16 日以来首次跌破 10 万美元大关。周四联邦公开市场委员会会议召开前，宏观经济不安情绪不断加剧，Wincent 高级总监 Paul Howard 表示：“市场抛售是由 DeepSeek AI 模型的消息推动的，一些人预测未来几周市场价格甚至会进一步回落，特别是如果宏观数据显示未来利率上升的话。”（TheBlock）","market":"us","thumbnail":null,"type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"zh","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://www.odaily.news/newsflash/415827?source=share","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"odaily_live","symbols":["AVAX.USD.HKCC","SNX.USD.HKCC","UBmain","DOT.USD.HKCC","US2Y.BOND","US6M.BOND","US10Y.BOND","BTC.USD.HKCC","LTC.USD.HKCC","DYDX.USD.HKCC","MSTU","AVAX.USD.CC","IBIT","BTCW","MKR.USD.CC","09008","DEFI","SNX.USD.CC","HODL","US12M.BOND","ZTmain","03439","03008","03042","APT.USD.CC","EZBC","COMP.USD.HKCC","LDO.USD.HKCC","ZFmain","FOMC","COMP.USD.CC","US3Y.BOND","DOT.USD.CC","TNmain","BRRR","ZBmain","USDT.USD.CC","09439","09042","US30Y.BOND","VBTC.AU","FBTC","BTC.USD.CC","161631","ATOM.USD.HKCC","ZNmain","APT.USD.HKCC","US5Y.BOND","LINK.USD.HKCC"],"gpt_icon":0}],"pageSize":20,"totalPage":10,"pageCount":10,"totalSize":200,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}],"@#url:\"https://hq.skytigris.cn/fundamental/corporate_actions/details/FOMC\",params:#limit:5,,,undefined,":[{"market":"US","date":"2024-02-22","symbol":"FOMC","defaultRemindTime":1708612200000,"type":"split","dateTimestamp":1708578000000,"forFactor":100,"toFactor":1,"ratio":100},{"market":"US","date":"2022-08-15","symbol":"FOMC","fiscalQuarterEnding":null,"expectedEps":null,"name":null,"time":"盘后","type":"earning","dateTimestamp":1660536000000,"reportTimeType":"post","actualEps":null},{"market":"US","date":"2022-07-13","symbol":"FOMC","fiscalQuarterEnding":null,"expectedEps":null,"name":null,"time":"盘后","type":"earning","dateTimestamp":1657684800000,"reportTimeType":"post","actualEps":null}],"@#url:\"https://hq.skytigris.cn/fundamental/dividend/history\",params:#symbol:\"FOMC\",market:\"US\",,,undefined,":[],"@#url:\"https://hq.skytigris.cn/fundamental/estimate/recommendation\",params:#symbol:\"FOMC\",market:\"US\",delay:false,,,undefined,":{}}}