智通财经APP获悉,鉴于美国州级资格审查的恢复导致Elevance Health(ELV.US)会员基础中的病情严重程度水平发生了变化,该公司的医疗补助业务面临压力,摩根士丹利周二将该股评级从“增持”下调至“持股观望”。
这家总部位于印第安纳州的管理式医疗保健公司在10月公布第三季度业绩时,将其全年利润预期下调至低于市场预期的水平,理由之一是医疗补助报销率与会员的医疗需求不匹配,康西哥(CNC.US)等竞争对手也有同样的担忧。
在下调预期之前,该公司的福利费用比率(保费中用于医疗保健成本的部分)出现飙升,这主要是由于医疗补助费率与其会员的更高的病情严重程度之间的时间不匹配。
Elevance的股价在2024年下跌了约20%,主要原因是令人失望的第三季度业绩和行业审查,但摩根士丹利分析师Erin Wright考虑到公司复苏路径的不确定性和不利的成本趋势,仍选择保持观望。
该分析师写道:“诚然,预期并不高,但MDCD帐面正常化时间的不确定性,以及第三季度观察到的MA帐面成本趋势压力增加的担忧,让我们有所犹豫。”
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