智通财经APP获悉,煤炭股午后跌幅扩大,截至发稿,蒙古焦煤(00975)跌19.47%,报4.55港元;首钢资源(00639)跌11.46%,报2.24港元;兖矿能源(01171)跌11.11%,报7.36港元;中煤能源(01898)跌10.31%,报7.22港元;中国神华(01088)跌6.75%,报30.4港元。
中信证券此前表示,跟踪的样本煤炭上市公司,2025年第一季度净利润平均同比降幅或在26%,动力煤龙头公司跌幅较少。今年以来行业供给保持宽松,煤价虽然跌幅较大,但在初步的成本支撑下或逐步见底。目前板块龙头公司的红利水平依然具备吸引力,随着对煤价的悲观预期消化,待红利风格强化,板块有望启动新的行情。
华福证券指出,关税对煤炭的冲击主要体现在短期经济的压力,中期潜在的内需刺激政策值得期待,对冲之下煤炭作为内需为主的品种受影响偏小,展望远期,国际关系持续复杂使得能源安全意义重大,以煤为核心的能源基础或将更为突出。随着煤价企稳,当前核心标的股息率较为突出,中国神华2024分红比例再度提升,3月26日瑞众人寿公告举牌神华H股反映当前煤炭具备长期配置价值。
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