If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think American Electric Power Company (NASDAQ:AEP) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on American Electric Power Company is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.047 = US$4.2b ÷ (US$100b - US$10b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, American Electric Power Company has an ROCE of 4.7%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 4.7%.
Check out our latest analysis for American Electric Power Company
Above you can see how the current ROCE for American Electric Power Company compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for American Electric Power Company .
In terms of American Electric Power Company's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has employed 39% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 4.7%. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
As we've seen above, American Electric Power Company's returns on capital haven't increased but it is reinvesting in the business. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 28% over the last five years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for American Electric Power Company (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.
While American Electric Power Company may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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