If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Having said that, from a first glance at AptarGroup (NYSE:ATR) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for AptarGroup:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.15 = US$484m ÷ (US$4.5b - US$1.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, AptarGroup has an ROCE of 15%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 9.9% generated by the Packaging industry.
See our latest analysis for AptarGroup
Above you can see how the current ROCE for AptarGroup compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for AptarGroup .
Over the past five years, AptarGroup's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. So don't be surprised if AptarGroup doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time.
We can conclude that in regards to AptarGroup's returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. Since the stock has gained an impressive 52% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
Like most companies, AptarGroup does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While AptarGroup may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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