The Popular $100K Year-End Goal for Bitcoin Has Less Than 10% Probability in Options Market

Coindesk

2024-10-25

The way BTC options trading on Deribit are currently priced suggests a 9.58% chance of prices rising above $100,000 by Dec. 27.
The possibility of prices rising to $82,000 is higher, according to one observer.
Options market probabilities can change quickly with market conditions.

As sophisticated and retail investors rally around the possibility of bitcoin's (BTC) price surging to at least $100,000 by the year-end, the options market tied to the cryptocurrency assigns a low probability of such a surge materializing.

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