Teladoc Health, Inc. (NYSE:TDOC) Just Reported Third-Quarter Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

Simply Wall St.
2024-11-01

Investors in Teladoc Health, Inc. (NYSE:TDOC) had a good week, as its shares rose 5.0% to close at US$9.00 following the release of its third-quarter results. It looks like the results were pretty good overall. While revenues of US$641m were in line with analyst predictions, statutory losses were much smaller than expected, with Teladoc Health losing US$0.19 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Teladoc Health after the latest results.

View our latest analysis for Teladoc Health

NYSE:TDOC Earnings and Revenue Growth November 1st 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus, from the 24 analysts covering Teladoc Health, is for revenues of US$2.54b in 2025. This implies a noticeable 2.1% reduction in Teladoc Health's revenue over the past 12 months. Losses are predicted to fall substantially, shrinking 85% to US$0.88. Before this latest report, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$2.55b and US$0.91 per share in losses. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment in the recent updates, with the analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for losses per share, even though the revenue numbers were unchanged.

The average price target held steady at US$10.40, seeming to indicate that business is performing in line with expectations. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Teladoc Health, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$14.00 and the most bearish at US$8.00 per share. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 1.7% annualised decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 27% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 9.6% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Teladoc Health is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts reconfirmed their loss per share estimates for next year. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Teladoc Health going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You still need to take note of risks, for example - Teladoc Health has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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