Nov 7 (Reuters) - Where the U.S. dollar closes after the U.S. Federal Reserve policy decision on Thursday could be key to its direction in coming sessions.
The dollar edged lower on Thursday after hitting a four-month high following Republican Donald Trump's win in the U.S. presidential election, while investors awaited the Federal Reserve.
The USD index, which tracks the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, soared on Wednesday to close well above the 104.719 Fibo, a 61.8% retrace of the 106.13 to 100.15 (June to September) drop. It registered its biggest percentage points rise since Mar. 19 2020.
However, the USD index needs a second close at the end of trading on Thursday above the 104.719 Fibo, in order to force an eventual probe of the 156.68 Fibo, a 76.4% retrace of the same 106.13-100.15 fall. A failure above this level would hint at a top in the greenback.
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(Martin Miller is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
((martin.miller@thomsonreuters.com))
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