Despite an already strong run, SY Holdings Group Limited (HKG:6069) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 32% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 43%.
Following the firm bounce in price, SY Holdings Group may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.7x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 6x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, SY Holdings Group has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for SY Holdings Group
In order to justify its P/E ratio, SY Holdings Group would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 12% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with EPS shrinking 25% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 42% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 23%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that SY Holdings Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The strong share price surge has got SY Holdings Group's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of SY Holdings Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for SY Holdings Group (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than SY Holdings Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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