If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating China MeiDong Auto Holdings (HKG:1268), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on China MeiDong Auto Holdings is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.072 = CN¥549m ÷ (CN¥14b - CN¥6.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Therefore, China MeiDong Auto Holdings has an ROCE of 7.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Specialty Retail industry average of 10%.
Check out our latest analysis for China MeiDong Auto Holdings
Above you can see how the current ROCE for China MeiDong Auto Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering China MeiDong Auto Holdings for free.
In terms of China MeiDong Auto Holdings' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 26%, but since then they've fallen to 7.2%. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
On a side note, China MeiDong Auto Holdings' current liabilities are still rather high at 47% of total assets. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for China MeiDong Auto Holdings have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 64% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
On a final note, we've found 3 warning signs for China MeiDong Auto Holdings that we think you should be aware of.
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