Q3 2024 FinVolution Group Earnings Call

Thomson Reuters StreetEvents
2024-11-20

Participants

Jimmy Tan; Head of Investor Relations; FinVolution Group

Tiezheng Li; President, Chief Executive Officer, Vice Chairman of the Board, Co-Founder; FinVolution Group

Jiayuan Xu; Chief Financial Officer; FinVolution Group

Alex Ye; Analyst; UBS

Cindy Wang; Analyst; China Renaissance

Yada Li; Analyst; China International Capital Corporation (Hong Kong) Limited

Presentation

Operator

Hello, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for participating in the third-quarter 2024 earnings conference call for FinVolution Group. (Operator Instructions) Today's conference call is being recorded.
I will now turn the call over to your host, Jimmy Tan, Head of Capital Markets for the company. Jimmy, please go ahead.

Jimmy Tan

Hello, everyone, and thank you to all and welcome to our third-quarter 2024 earnings conference call.
The company results were issued via Newswire services earlier today and are posted online. You can download the earnings release and sign up for company email alerts by visiting the IR section of our website at ir.finvgroup.com.
Mr. Tiezheng Li, our Chief Executive Officer; and Mr. Jiayuan Xu, our Chief Financial Officer, will start the call with their prepared remarks and conclude with a Q&A session.
During this call, we will be referring to several non-GAAP financial measures to review and assess our operating performance. These non-GAAP financial measures are not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information prepared and presented in accordance with US GAAP. For information about these non-GAAP measures and reconciliation to GAAP measures, please refer to our earnings press release.
Before we continue, please note that today's discussion will contain forward-looking statements made under the Safe Harbor conditions of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. As such, the company results may be materially different from the views expressed today. Further information regarding these and other risks and uncertainties are included in the company filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. The company does not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, except as required under applicable law.
Finally, we posted a slide presentation on our IR website providing details of our results for the quarter.
I will now turn the call over to our CEO, Mr. Tiezheng Li. Please go ahead, sir.

Tiezheng Li

Thanks, Jimmy. Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining our earnings call. This is Tiezheng Li, CEO of FinVolution Group. We are happy to speak with you today.
FinVolution made great progress despite the perilous challenges through strong execution of our local excellence, global outlook, and our legal strategy. Although China's overall economic growth remained restrained in the third quarter, we anticipate more sustainable improvements in the fourth quarter, given the broader-than-anticipated stimulus measures announced in late September.
Also, we have made great progress towards the objective of achieving 50% of our revenue coming from the international market by 2030. By constantly leveraging our experience in China and ongoing technological improvements, we have propelled rapid growth in international transaction volume. This has translated into higher revenue and net income contribution, with international revenue contribution increasing significantly from 3.7% in 2020 to 10.3% in 2022 and expected to be around 20% in 2024.
Over the years, we have also consolidated our capabilities into individual models, which we can flexibly deploy while adapting to the evolving requirements of different countries. In line with our objective of increasing our international revenues, we recently strengthened our international team and invited Dr. Sun Xiaodong to join us as our Senior Vice President for international business. Dr. Sun has held key positions at renowned firms such as Ant Financial International, MyBank, American Express, and Citibank.
Bolstered by Mr. Sun's leadership and expertise, we are confident of accelerating our international business expansion and achieving new milestones. As of September 30, 2024, we have cumulatively served 32.6 million borrowers across China, Indonesia, and the Philippines. For our international markets, we are proud to share that the number of unique borrowers grew from 0.7 million in 2020 to 1.6 million in 2022 and to 2.1 million for the first nine months of 2024. Also, it's worthy to note the number of new borrowers were 0.63 million in 2020, 1.1 million in 2022, and 1.5 million in the first nine months of 2024.
Validating the high percentage of new borrowers in our international business, the acquisition of high-quality borrowers across all our markets remains an important element of our strategy. As a result, the total number of new borrowers across our platform once again exceeded the 1 million mark.
We are very pleased to share that as we enhanced our global operations during the third quarter, the number of new borrowers in international markets reached 671,000, up 60% year over year and 43% quarter over quarter. Notably, the number of new international borrowers (technical difficulty) quarter. Such strong growth underscores our execution excellence and our strategy's effectiveness in driving the rapid expansion of our international business.
For the third quarter, total transaction volume reached RMB52.2 billion, while total outstanding loan balance reached RMB68.1 billion, up 1.8% and 3.3%, respectively, year over year. This continued growth across all the markets in which we operate validates our strategy's efficiency and sustainability.
Given the low penetration rate for financial services in our international markets, we continue to enhance our holistic approach to customer acquisition with innovative marketing campaigns that capitalize on our strategic partners' resources and our local team's deep understanding of market trends. For instance, our comprehensive social media strategy continues to attract new site visitors and enhance our brand exposure, facilitating positive word-of-mouth publicity and projecting a trustworthy image that encourages borrower conversion. As of the end of the third quarter, our total followers on major social media platforms reached 2.5 million, up 21% year over year.
As a tech pioneer, we are leveraging tech innovation to strengthen our operations and promote the fintech industry's integrity and security. During the third quarter, FinVolution presented its detection solutions for combating deepfake voice command scams during the 33rd International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence in South Korea. Advancement in voice synthesis technology are making it increasingly difficult to distinguish between genuine and cloned voices, posing significant risks in terms of data security and asset protection affecting different industries.
We believe that our sophisticated large, long-range model-based solutions have the potential to effectively fight voice command fraud, safeguarding our users' interests and fostering a healthy industry ecosystem. We have also integrated large, long-range models into our loan collection recovery process, which has improved our loan collection recovery rate and saved us millions of dollars.
The development of such innovative technologies is a result of our strong commitment to R&D and the annual FinVolution Technology Cup competition, which has incubated many cutting-edge solutions over its nine-year history. Looking ahead, we will continue to invest heavily in R&D to enhance service quality and operating efficiency empowered by leading technologies across our operations.
Before I wrap up, a brief update on our ESG efforts. In line with our commitment to financial inclusion, we continue to support the backbone of the economy by facilitating loans for small business owners during the third quarter. As I joined, community-oriented providers of local employment opportunities, serving small business ultimately contribute to a more rapid economic recovery. During the quarter, we empowered 447,000 small business owners with loans totaling RMB15.4 billion during the quarter, up 25% year over year.
In summary, we successfully navigated the third quarter's challenge by capitalizing on our strength in technology, customer acquisition, and retention. We also continue to attract quality talents across multiple countries, which has further strengthened our R&D capabilities and will eventually enable business processes outsourcing from Indonesia and the Philippines, facilitating our expansion as we enter into more new markets, firm execution of our local excellence, global outlook strategy, continuous technological innovation, and our unwavering commitment to our vision of financial inclusion to continue to drive our steady progress and long-term sustainable growth. Going forward, we are confident of becoming the leading fintech player across the Pan-Asian region.
With that, I will now turn the call over to our CFO, Jiayuan Xu, who will discuss the operational and financial results.

Jiayuan Xu

Thank you, Li, and hello, everyone. Welcome to our third-quarter 2024 earnings call. Let's go through our key results for the third quarter. To be mindful of the length of earnings call today, I encourage listeners to refer to our third-quarter earnings press release for further details.
As Li mentioned, the recent announcement of a series of borders and expected stimulus measures during China's national holidays has resulted in positive growth in travel and consumption data. During the National Day holiday period, 765 million domestic trips were made, a year-over-year increase of 5.9%. Domestic tourists collectively spend around RMB701 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 6.3%.
Alongside the trend of consumption recovery, consumer willingness to purchase houses in the first-tier cities, such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen, has rebounded significantly due to favorable real estate policies. Furthermore, the manufacturing PMI rose by 70 basis points in September, reaching 49.8 points, the highest level since May.
During the third quarter, we observed ongoing improvement across multiple operational metrics in our China market. For the first nine months of 2024, the transaction volume in China reached RMB142 billion, up by over 4% year over year. Other operational metrics also exhibited varied degrees of continuous improvement.
Furthermore, our average borrowing rate in China remained stable in the third quarter, a strong validation of our commitment to financial inclusion. Leveraging ample market liquidity and a continuous shortage of quality loan assets, we further improved our funding costs by an additional 50 bps in the third quarter. Since the beginning of the year, we have improved funding costs by 190 bps, reflecting financial institutions' strong recognition of our asset quality and credit risk assessment capabilities.
Regarding risk, we achieved significant improvement in our recent day one delinquency rate, driving a 20-basis point improvement to 4.9% through effective use of our end-to-end involving credit risk assessment models. Meanwhile, our loan collection recovery rate rebounded to 88.5%, up 50 basis points quarter over quarter.
Given our growing confidence in the acceleration of the macroeconomic recovery, we anticipate sustaining the improvement for the remainder of the year. We also maintain our expectation that vintage delinquency rate for the quarter will improve to around 2.4%.
Turning now to our international expansion, our validated second growth driver. For the first nine months of the year, international transaction volume reached RMB7.2 billion, up 29% year over year. Revenue contribution from the international markets grew further to RMB636 million, up 9% year over year, and representing 19% of total revenues. Capitalizing on a robust global macro environment through effective execution of our legal strategy, we are confident in our international operations sustainability and the diversification of our business models across various countries.
Let me begin with our first and largest overseas market, Indonesia. This market continues to exhibit strong growth momentum, with the consumer confidence index remaining above 120 points for 21 consecutive months. We expect further simulation in local consumption following a 25-basis-point reduction in the benchmark seven-day reserve report rate to 6%.
In September 2024, motorbike sales in Indonesia increased by 3.7% year over year, reaching 529,000 units. After several months of business adjustments aimed at attracting high-quality borrowers under the new pricing cap, we are pleased to announce that our transaction volume in Indonesia has resumed growth, reaching RMB1.8 billion, a sequential increase of 11%.
This quarter also marks one of our best-performing quarters ever in terms of transaction volume. Following the completion of our recent business adjustments, we forged a new strategic partnership agreement with Superbank, a leading digital bank in Indonesia, highlighting the trust and the recognition we have earned from local financial institutions. To date, we have entered into strategic partnerships with multiple renowned digital and traditional local financial institutions, including Superbank, Bank Jago, SeaBank, OCBC Bank, and Permata Bank, among others.
I also want to highlight that after several quarters of preparation, we have successfully acquired a large majority stake in a local multi-finance company, which will enable us to diversify our products into non-cash loans. This, in turn, will empower us to expand our presence to some more borrowers. The completion of this acquisition underscores regulators' trust and confidence in our local operations.
In the Philippines, our second international market, reversed macroeconomic conditions are boosting consumption. In September, the Purchase Manager's Index, PMI, reached 53.7 points, reflecting year-over-year growth of 6% and a sequential increase of 5%. This micro trend also drove a reduction in the Philippines' unemployment rate to 3.7% in September 2024, down from 4.5% during the same period last year.
Notably, private consumption in the Philippines has accounted for over 70% of its nominal GDP for over a decade, serving as the country's primary growth engine, boosted by steady remittance inflows and a strong labor market. Our Philippines operations continue to outperform expectations, with transaction volume growing 137% year over year and 24% sequentially to RMB838 million. It's also worth noting that its contribution to international transaction volume grew to about 32% for the quarter.
We have established robust financial and operational partnerships in the region and remain highly confident in our ability to sustain rapid growth here. For example, while stressing our Buy Now, Pay Later, BNPL, partnership with TikTok, we have also initiated a pilot project with another leading e-commerce platform to diversify our customer acquisition channel.
Furthermore, we have ample funding from leading local financial institutions such as Maya Bank, SeaBank, and UnionBank to support our growth. These solid partnerships have enabled us to capitalize on the vast opportunities in the Philippines market. Given the accomplishments we have achieved in our international markets, we are confident we can replicate this success in additional countries and regions by leveraging our in-depth experience and technological advantages.
Now, turning to our financial metrics, this quarter's operational excellence resulted in the solid financial performance. Net revenue for the quarter reached RMB3.3 billion, marking a 3% increase year over year and a 3% increase sequentially. Net income was RMB624 million, representing a 9% increase year over year and a 13% increase sequentially.
Meanwhile, sales and marketing expenses rose by 6% year over year to RMB516 million as we continued to strengthen efforts to acquire new borrowers of high quality in both China and international markets.
Furthermore, our leverage ratio, defined as risk-bearing loans divided by shareholders' equity, remained low at 3.2 times, reflecting potential growth opportunities as the macroeconomic environment stabilizes.
Our total liquidity position, consisting of cash and cash equivalents plus short-term investments, reached RMB9 billion, up 13% from December 2023, showcasing a robust balance sheet that's well able to support our business growth and exploration of new opportunities while consistently increasing shareholders' returns.
Before I conclude, let me briefly update you on our share repurchase program. During the third quarter, we deployed around USD24.3 million to repurchase around 4.6 million ADS on our secondary market. For the first nine months of 2024, we deployed USD81.1 million to repurchase our shares in the market, up 23% year over year. As of September 13, 2024, we had cumulatively returned USD316.1 million and USD325 million to our shareholders in the form of share repurchase and dividend distribution, respectively, for a total return of USD686.1 million to our shareholders, underscoring our strong commitment to enhancing shareholders' value.
In summary, our robust results for the third quarter demonstrate the effectiveness of our local excellence global outlook strategy, empowered by our [engine] business model and technological advantages. Given consumers' growing confidence in an accelerating economic recovery, we believe our operations will continue to build positive momentum throughout the remainder of the year. We will remain committed to seizing the global market's vast opportunities and sharing our achievements with all shareholders through sustainable business growth and a strengthening capital return program.
That concludes my prepared remarks. We will now open the call to questions. Operator, please continue.

Question and Answer Session

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Alex Ye, UBS.

Alex Ye

Good morning, management. Thanks for taking my question. So my first question is on China business. So we have seen your loan volume was up by 7% Q on Q. So the growth has rebounded from 1% Q on Q last quarter. So I'm wondering what drove the loan volume pick up during the quarter. Is that an industry-wide trend? And then also going to Q4, have you seen any sort of pick up in credit demand and loan allocation in October and November?
And secondly, it's on your international business. So after the price ceiling adjustment this year, do you expect a further decline into next year? And then also, we also see there's continued investment in sales and marketing and other expenses. So I'm wondering, when do we expect to see the international business to start generating more meaningful profits? Thank you.

Jiayuan Xu

(interpreted) Since the second half of 2023, the industry has experienced some silica fluctuations and the industry is facing the challenges of a size reduction. However, FinVolution, with its steady risk performance, has still managed to achieve a growth rate of above 4% in transaction volume for the first nine months of the year, with transaction volume in the third quarter reaching RMB49.5 billion, up 6.7% sequentially.
And during the third quarter, from two different perspectives, number one, we have observed that customer applications have increased compared to the second quarter, reversing the trend of a continuous weak applications during the first half. Customer applications in the third quarter increased by 12% sequentially.
And another view is that the continued investment in new customer acquisitions enable us to have a leading status in the industry. Historically, our percentage of new customers have constantly been above 10%, and during the third quarter, this percentage further grew to 14%, reaching 400,000 new borrowers. Investment in high-quality borrowers is critical for us to achieve continued growth.
I believe you guys have also noticed the stimulus package announced in late September. We have observed that the daily transaction volume has shown some improvement along with an increase of around 10% in application rates. And entering into late October, customer application has gradually slowed down and returned to the September levels, but still, it has shown a significant improvement compared to the first half of the year. And we believe the trend exhibited in the third quarter is able to continue into the fourth quarter.
The September-end broader-than-anticipated stimulus greatly motivated us. It provides us with greater confidence regarding the development of our China market. As you know, we have been maintaining high-quality growth in our China market and through continued investment in areas such as customer acquisitions and user experience. We believe the impact of such investment will be multiplied as the stimulus package gradually materializes. And during this period, we all should have some patience.
In 2024, we have been through a price reduction process from 0.4% to 0.3% on a daily basis, and we have completed the transition to better quality borrowers and upgraded our credit risk assessment models in nearly five months. Transaction volume has since resumed growth and up by 10% sequentially.
And throughout these several times of price reduction, we have accumulated sufficient experience in handling interest rate reduction, and currently, we didn't receive any notifications for further price decline. We are still operating at the current level of 0.3%, although there might be further information in the fourth quarter. And under a stable pricing environment, we believe we are able to contribute more meaningful profits for this Indonesia business for the cash loan business.

Operator

Cindy Wang, China Renaissance.

Cindy Wang

(spoken in foreign language) Thanks for taking my question. I have two questions here. First one is the funding cost has been lower 190 bps this year. Do you think is there any room to improve in fourth quarter?
And second question is the number of the new borrowers in the international market has surpassed China for the second consecutive quarter. So can you talk about your Indonesia and Philippines customer acquisition strategy and customer acquisition cost? And how would that impact your sales and marketing expenses? Thank you.

Jiayuan Xu

(interpreted) I believe you guys have seen that our funding cost in China has improved a lot since the beginning of the year, reflecting the market recognition in our technologies and asset quality. We believe there's still room for improvement in the fourth quarter. However, the improvement rates might be smaller compared to the remaining of the year.

Tiezheng Li

(interpreted) As mentioned by Alexis, we have spent the first five months to transit to better quality borrowers in Indonesia and have since resumed growth in the third quarter. And along this process, we have been expanding our base of local funding institutions, and now, we have been working with seven different partners such as SeaBank, OCBC, Jago, among others. And all our loans facilitated in Indonesia are facilitated by these local players.
We have also acquired a multi-finance license, validating the recognition and trust from local regulators. We have also established cooperations with renowned local partners such as OPPO and OOP. And you have also noticed that our customer growth has been very robust in both year-over-year and Q-over-Q growth. And take rate is also stable, and like Alexis mentioned, there will be much more meaningful profit in 2025.
The Philippines macro is robust, and we have achieved great operational results. For example, we have established strong partnerships with local financial institutions as well, such as SeaBank and Maya Bank. And today, about 60% of our loans are being facilitated through local financial institutions.
In addition, we have established strong cooperations with local partners such as TikTok Shop, and today, around 20% of our transaction volume is from them and we expect it to grow further in 2025. The business operations performance in Philippines is above our expectation, with strong growth both in year-over-year and Q-over-Q comparisons. And also, we expect Philippines operations to contribute profits in 2025.
Since entering the international market in 2018, we have been doing international business for seven years. And as you can see, along all these years, our operational metrics such as risk, customer acquisition, have all been improving. And currently, the revenue contributions for international operations has reached around 20%. We have also been proactively planning and deploying resources into more new countries, and we'll share more when there is more concrete news.
Some of the ideas is that when we enter into a new country, we will focus on the cash loan first and then adapt to local regulations and eventually upgrade to better borrowers. And secondly, we will then adapt into -- on loans with consumption scenarios. And by 2030, we have a target of achieving 50% of our revenue from international business and provide more borrowers with better services.

Operator

Yada Li, CICC.

Yada Li

(spoken in foreign language) Hello, management. Thank you for taking my questions. The question is regarding the shareholders' return. Do you expect to deliver more value to the shareholders in 2025? And how the company balance long-term growth and total shareholders' return? That's all. Thank you.

Jiayuan Xu

(interpreted) The company has prioritized the long-term return of shareholder value. On one hand, we are creating value through rapid, sustainable growth of our business. On the other hand, we have established a leading capital return program consisting of share repurchases and dividends.
Since 2018, we have launched our dividend and repurchase program for six consecutive years, the earliest in the industry. During this period, we have cumulatively returned $618 million to our shareholders, which is around 43% of our market cap. During the third quarter, we have deployed USD24.3 million for share repurchases, up 24% year over year. And for the first nine months of the year, we have cumulatively repurchased -- deployed $81 million, up 23% from the same period last year. And we have already utilized 75% of our third share repurchase program by the end of October.
Also, returning value to shareholders through high-quality growth in both international market and China market -- our principle is that we will maintain high-quality growth, and also, we are confident of distributing dividends at a stable growth rate for our shareholders.

Operator

Thank you. As there are no further questions, I'd now like to turn the conference back over to the company for closing remarks.

Jimmy Tan

Hello. Thank you all for joining our earnings conference call today. If you have any further questions, please feel free to contact our investor relations team. Thank you all. Have a nice day.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes this conference call. You may now disconnect your line, and have a wonderful day.

Portions of this transcript that are marked (interpreted) were spoken by an interpreter present on the live call. The interpreter was provided by the company sponsoring this event.

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