If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Intchains Group (NASDAQ:ICG) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Intchains Group, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.038 = CN¥38m ÷ (CN¥1.1b - CN¥71m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Intchains Group has an ROCE of 3.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Semiconductor industry average of 8.6%.
View our latest analysis for Intchains Group
In the above chart we have measured Intchains Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Intchains Group for free.
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Intchains Group doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 17% over the last four years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
On a side note, Intchains Group has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 6.6% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Intchains Group is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 53% in the last year. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
On a separate note, we've found 2 warning signs for Intchains Group you'll probably want to know about.
While Intchains Group may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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