What underlying fundamental trends can indicate that a company might be in decline? More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. Ultimately this means that the company is earning less per dollar invested and on top of that, it's shrinking its base of capital employed. In light of that, from a first glance at F8 Enterprises (Holdings) Group (HKG:8347), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for F8 Enterprises (Holdings) Group, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.022 = HK$2.0m ÷ (HK$162m - HK$67m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, F8 Enterprises (Holdings) Group has an ROCE of 2.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Oil and Gas industry average of 6.9%.
Check out our latest analysis for F8 Enterprises (Holdings) Group
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for F8 Enterprises (Holdings) Group's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of F8 Enterprises (Holdings) Group.
The trend of returns that F8 Enterprises (Holdings) Group is generating are raising some concerns. The company used to generate 6.0% on its capital five years ago but it has since fallen noticeably. On top of that, the business is utilizing 22% less capital within its operations. When you see both ROCE and capital employed diminishing, it can often be a sign of a mature and shrinking business that might be in structural decline. Typically businesses that exhibit these characteristics aren't the ones that tend to multiply over the long term, because statistically speaking, they've already gone through the growth phase of their life cycle.
On a side note, F8 Enterprises (Holdings) Group's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 42% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 2.2%. What this means is that in reality, a rather large portion of the business is being funded by the likes of the company's suppliers or short-term creditors, which can bring some risks of its own.
To see F8 Enterprises (Holdings) Group reducing the capital employed in the business in tandem with diminishing returns, is concerning. This could explain why the stock has sunk a total of 96% in the last five years. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing F8 Enterprises (Holdings) Group, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
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