BUZZ-J.P. Morgan expects demand trends to favor US natgas over oil

Reuters
2024-12-06
BUZZ-J.P. Morgan expects demand trends to favor US natgas over oil

** J.P. Morgan expects natural gas producers to benefit from three distinct demand trends; build-out of LNG export capacity, rising power demand from electrification and coal-to-gas switching

** Says expectations of record U.S. oil supply, OPEC+ barrels return in 2025, Non-OPEC 2025 supply growth and potential policy de-regulations due to Republicans gaining control of the presidency and both chambers of Congress, has softened near-term enthusiasm for the oil macro outlook

** Brokerage will "continue to favor natgas levered producers given the supply response to low gas prices, the imminent start-up of meaningful LNG feedgas flows, and a number of positive data center/AI data points"

** Upgrades ConocoPhillips COP.N to "overweight"; downgrades Devon Energy DVN.N, SM Energy SM.N to "neutral" from "overweight" and CNX Resources CNX.N to "underweight" from "neutral"

Brokerage changes PT on the following firms:

Company

New PT

Old PT

Upside/downside to stock's last close

Civitas Resources CIVI.N

$68

$66

40%

CNX Resources CNX.N

$37

$31

3% downside

ConocoPhillips COP.N

$123

$120

19%

Coterra Energy Inc CTRA.N

$31

$29

21%

Crescent Energy CRGY.N

$16

$14

10%

EOG Resources EOG.N

$141

$132

9%

EQT Corp EQT.N

$50

$44

12%

SM Energy SM.N

$53

$51

26%

(Reporting by Pooja Menon in Bengaluru)

((Pooja.Menon@thomsonreuters.com;))

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