Despite an already strong run, Fosun Tourism Group (HKG:1992) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 89% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 30%.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may consider Fosun Tourism Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 53.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Fosun Tourism Group has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Fosun Tourism Group
Fosun Tourism Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 27% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 49% per year during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 12% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Fosun Tourism Group is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The strong share price surge has got Fosun Tourism Group's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Fosun Tourism Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Fosun Tourism Group (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Fosun Tourism Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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