If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Speaking of which, we noticed some great changes in Granite Construction's (NYSE:GVA) returns on capital, so let's have a look.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Granite Construction, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.062 = US$122m ÷ (US$3.1b - US$1.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Granite Construction has an ROCE of 6.2%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Construction industry average of 11%.
View our latest analysis for Granite Construction
In the above chart we have measured Granite Construction's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Granite Construction for free.
Shareholders will be relieved that Granite Construction has broken into profitability. The company now earns 6.2% on its capital, because five years ago it was incurring losses. Interestingly, the capital employed by the business has remained relatively flat, so these higher returns are either from prior investments paying off or increased efficiencies. So while we're happy that the business is more efficient, just keep in mind that could mean that going forward the business is lacking areas to invest internally for growth. So if you're looking for high growth, you'll want to see a business's capital employed also increasing.
To sum it up, Granite Construction is collecting higher returns from the same amount of capital, and that's impressive. Since the stock has returned a staggering 267% to shareholders over the last five years, it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. Therefore, we think it would be worth your time to check if these trends are going to continue.
If you want to continue researching Granite Construction, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.
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