When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may consider Columbus McKinnon Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCO) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 73.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Columbus McKinnon hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Columbus McKinnon
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Columbus McKinnon's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 71%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 44% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 242% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 15%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Columbus McKinnon's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Columbus McKinnon's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Columbus McKinnon (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Columbus McKinnon, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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