Capital Environment Holdings Limited (HKG:3989) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 26% in the last month. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. Truth be told the share price declined 45% in three years and that return, Dear Reader, falls short of what you could have got from passive investing with an index fund.
The recent uptick of 13% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.
See our latest analysis for Capital Environment Holdings
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During five years of share price growth, Capital Environment Holdings moved from a loss to profitability. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So given the share price is down it's worth checking some other metrics too.
Arguably the revenue decline of 19% per year has people thinking Capital Environment Holdings is shrinking. And that's not surprising, since it seems unlikely that EPS growth can continue for long in the absence of revenue growth.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free interactive report on Capital Environment Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
Investors should note that there's a difference between Capital Environment Holdings' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Capital Environment Holdings hasn't been paying dividends, but its TSR of -41% exceeds its share price return of -45%, implying it has either spun-off a business, or raised capital at a discount; thereby providing additional value to shareholders.
While the broader market gained around 25% in the last year, Capital Environment Holdings shareholders lost 4.7%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 4% doled out over the last five years. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Capital Environment Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Capital Environment Holdings (2 make us uncomfortable) that you should be aware of.
But note: Capital Environment Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
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