瑞银：预期今年内房去库存趋势持续偏好贝壳及华润置地

市场资讯

01-06

格隆汇1月6日｜瑞银发表内房股报告，预期多项去年趋势于今年持续，包括二手房销售占比增加，租务市场重要性上升，高端商场持续面对挑战，中国房托在低息下崛起，以及政策对内地房市与内房股的影响力下降。该行预计，内房今年去库存趋势持续，新落成住宅销售面积及新动工分别按年跌10%及15%，一线城市房价按年跌10%。该行最新的库存模型显示去库存或于明年中完成，早于原来预期的明年第三季，受惠于近期政策刺激。该行偏好贝壳，基于二手房交易市占增长及租务市场增加的结构成趋势。该行亦偏好华润置地，基于资本利率挤压及资产出售释放投资物业组合价值。

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