Societe Generale in its early Friday economic news summary pointed out:
-- The US dollar mildly bid before United States payrolls (NFP), yields steady. Resistance two-yea U.S. Treasury 4.35%, 10-year 4.74%. OIS pricing -11bp for March FOMC, -41bps for 2025, terminal 4.1%. Cumulative 13.9 billion euros EUR/USD option strikes between 1.02 and 1.04.
-- Day ahead: U.S. NFP, SocGen forecasts 190,000 gains, range 100,00o to 268,000, consensus 165,000; forecasts unemployment rate steady at 4.2%. University of Michigan sentiment (preliminary). Canada employment LFS with consensus 25,000 rises, Brazil's consumer price index.
-- Norway's CPI slows to 2.2% year over year in December from 2.4% in November, core dips to 2.7%, justifies guidance for the first rate cut by Norges Bank in March.
-- China: The central bank to halt sovereign bond buying this month amid low yields and weaker yuan. Purchases to resume depending on market conditions. 10-year CGB yield climbs 4bps to 1.68%, USD/CNY steady at 7.3327.
-- Nikkei -1.0%, EUR 10-year IRS unchanged at 2.53%, Brent crude +0.9% at $77.6/barrel, Gold +0.4% at $2,676/oz.
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