ACMR's 2025 Top-Line View is Impressive: Buy or Hold the Stock?

Zacks
01-17

ACM Research ACMR expects 2025 revenues between $850 million and $950 million, which indicates roughly 18% growth at the mid-point compared with 2024’s revised estimated range of $755-$770 million.  

Strong demand for the company’s wafer processing solutions is the major driver. ACM expects continued investments from Mainland China customers on increasing capacity, which will keep demand for its products robust. ACMR also expects the impact of the U.S. component export restrictions on its supply chain to be manageable.

ACMR shares have appreciated roughly 15% since Jan. 2 and 17% in the past month.



ACMR Stock’s Performance


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Will the strong top-line growth estimate help ACMR gain momentum in 2025? Let’s dig deep to find out.

ACM Research’s Prospects Ride on Strong Portfolio

ACMR’s cleaning business, which comprises single wafer cleaning, Tahoe and semi-critical clinical equipment, is used in 90% of all cleaning process steps. ACM Research’s top-to-bottom cleaning portfolio helps address a significant part of the market, which is worth roughly $6 billion.

Improving demand for sulfuric acid peroxide mixing (SPM) offering, which represents roughly 25% of total front-end cleaning market, is helping ACMR gain market share in cleaning. The company remains on track to become the second only supplier of commercial high temperature SPM cleaning globally.

ACMR’s Ultra C Tahoe solution is expected to benefit from the growing demand for environment-friendly AI chip manufacturing for AI. The Ultra C Tahoe’s enhanced capabilities are noteworthy, as it has achieved an average particle count of less than 6 particles at 26 nano size, meeting the stringent requirement for advanced node manufacturing. 

Ultra C Tahoe tool is also now capable of removing YX nanoparticles for the most advanced logic memory applications, with an additional smaller particle filtering system. It combines a batch wafer process and a single wafer cleaning chamber into the same SPM tool, delivering enhanced cleaning performance, high throughput and process flexibility with up to 75% reduction in chemical consumption. 

ACMR is expected to benefit from increasing shipments of its ACP furnace to other memory and analog customers. ACM Research anticipated having 17 furnace customers by the end of 2024, up from nine at the end of 2023. The company expects contribution to revenues from furnace to accelerate in 2025.







Expanding International Footprint Aids ACMR’s Top Line

ACM Research benefits from an expanding international footprint, with a focus on winning new customers in the United States, Korea, Taiwan, Europe and other Asia markets. ACMR’s long-term target is to generate half of its revenues from outside of China. ACMR is expanding sales and services teams in the United States, Korea, Europe and South East Asia.

Over the long term, China Service Addressable Market (SAM) is worth $5 billion, with cleaning, ECP, furnace, PECVD, track and advanced packaging SAM being $1.6 billion, $0.4 billion, $0.7 billion, $1.3 billion, $0.8 billion and $0.3 billion, respectively.

Non-China SAM is estimated to be $11 billion, with cleaning, ECP, furnace, PECVD, track and advanced packaging SAM being $3.6 billion, $0.8 billion, $1.5 billion, $3 billion, $1.8 billion and $0.9 billion, respectively.

The company expects to generate $3 billion in revenues over the long term. 

ACMR expanded production capacity with the acquisition of a 39,500-square-foot facility, including a 5,200-square-foot clean room in Oregon.







ACMR’s Earnings Estimate Trends Are Steady

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is pegged at $1.80 per share, unchanged over the past 30 days.

ACMR’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 151.52%.
 


ACM Research, Inc. Price and Consensus

ACM Research, Inc. price-consensus-chart | ACM Research, Inc. Quote

Find the latest EPS estimates and surprises on Zacks Earnings Calendar.

ACMR Stock – Buy or Hold?

ACM Research shares are trading above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend.

ACMR Trades Above 50-Day and 200-Day SMA


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

ACM Research stock is trading at a discount, as suggested by the Value Score of A.

In terms of the forward 12-month Price/Sales, ACMR is trading at 1.13X, lower than its median of 1.41X and the sector’s 6.88X.

Price/Sales (F12M)


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

However, the slowdown in China’s advanced packaging market is a concern. U.S. export restrictions are a headwind for ACMR.

ACM Research currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), which implies that investors should wait for a favorable time to accumulate the stock. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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