Morning Brew: Nvidia Rebounds Amid AI Concerns as Microsoft Faces Cloud Scrutiny

GuruFocus
01-28

The S&P 500 futures are up 10 points, Nasdaq 100 futures have increased by 40 points, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are slightly up by 2 points.

Contracts tied to these indices are showing positive movement after a dip led by AI developments yesterday. However, the gains expected at the opening are small compared to the losses seen previously.

Earnings reports continue to come in. Boeing (BA), RTX (RTX), and Royal Caribbean (RCL) are receiving positive responses before the market opens. On the other hand, General Motors (GM) and JetBlue Airways (JBLU) are among those seeing declines after their earnings announcements.

Treasury yields are climbing after a decline yesterday. The 10-year yield has increased by three basis points to 4.56%.

In political news, President Trump is making headlines by expressing a desire for higher tariffs on foreign pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and metals.

Key stock updates:

Today's News

After a significant market cap loss, Nvidia (NVDA, Financial) shares showed resilience by climbing approximately 3% in premarket trading on Tuesday. This recovery follows a tumultuous Monday, where Nvidia lost $589 billion in market value due to concerns over DeepSeek AI's cost-efficient model. J.P. Morgan analysts maintained an Overweight rating on Nvidia, Broadcom (AVGO, Financial), and Marvell Technology (MRVL, Financial), emphasizing the potential for continued innovation despite competitive pressures from emerging AI technologies.

The U.K.'s Competition and Markets Authority highlighted Microsoft's (MSFT, Financial) dominant position in the cloud services market, which is making it difficult for Amazon (AMZN, Financial) Web Services and Google Cloud (GOOGL) to compete. The agency noted that Microsoft and Amazon control a significant portion of the market, raising concerns about limited choices for consumers. All three companies experienced minimal stock movement in premarket trading.

Juniper Networks (JNPR, Financial) saw a 7% drop in premarket trading following reports that the Department of Justice may block its $14 billion sale to Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE, Financial). The DOJ's potential lawsuit could delay the deal, which has already received approval from the European Union.

KeyBanc Capital Markets identified Applied Materials (AMAT, Financial), Arm Holdings (ARM, Financial), and Nvidia (NVDA, Financial) as top semiconductor stocks for 2025. The sector is expected to see a 9% revenue increase, driven by demand for generative AI and improvements in cycle fundamentals. Analysts predict robust growth in wafer fab equipment spending, particularly in advanced logic and memory.

Alibaba Cloud (BABA, Financial) introduced its new Qwen2.5-VL AI models, which rival OpenAI's offerings backed by Microsoft (MSFT, Financial), Amazon (AMZN, Financial), and Google (GOOGL). These models demonstrate advanced capabilities in text and image analysis, positioning Alibaba as a strong competitor in the AI space.

SoundHound AI (SOUN, Financial) filed for a registration statement with the SEC for a $250 million "at-the-market" offering program, which is part of a broader $500 million sale of its Class A common stock and other securities. The move aims to bolster the company's financial position amid a challenging market environment.

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) announced the delivery of its IM-2 mission lunar lander, Athena, to Cape Canaveral. The mission, part of NASA's Commercial Lunar Payload Services initiative, is slated for launch in February 2025, marking Intuitive Machines' second lunar mission.

General Mills (GIS) declared a quarterly dividend of $0.60 per share, maintaining its long-standing tradition of uninterrupted dividend payments for 126 years. The forward yield is set at 3.89%, reflecting the company's stable financial performance.

Sysco Corporation (SYY) reported a 4.5% increase in sales for the quarter, with gross profit rising by 3.9%. Despite a slight decrease in gross margin, the company's effective management of product cost inflation contributed to a 5.1% increase in adjusted operating income.

GuruFocus Stock Analysis

  • DeepSeek V3 Sparks Sell-Off, But Experts Expect Long-Term AI Chip Boom by Muslim Farooque
  • KeyBanc Picks Top Semiconductor Stocks for 2025, Highlights AI Growth by Muslim Farooque
  • U.K. Regulator Flags Microsoft's Cloud Practices as Anti-Competitive by Muslim Farooque
  • Amazon, Meta, and Apple May Leverage DeepSeek's AI Innovation for Growth by Nauman khan
  • What to Expect in 2025 from Buffet's Apple Dump Last Year by Horse Poor Investor

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