Danaher Stock Tanks 8.6% After Rare Earnings Miss--Is the Growth Story Cracking?

GuruFocus.com
01-30

Danaher (NYSE:DHR) just took a hit, dropping by 8.6% in the morning, the steepest fall since April 2023. Investors weren't thrilled after the company posted Q4 earnings per share of $2.14, missing Wall Street's $2.16 estimate. Revenue came in at $6.5 billion, slightly ahead of projections, but weak margins and cautious guidance sent the stock sliding. The company expects a low-single digits revenue decline in Q1, implying $5.6 billionbelow analysts' $5.9 billion forecast. While full-year sales are set to rise 3%, investors are questioning whether Danaher can make up for lost ground.

  • Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Sign with DHR.

CEO Rainer M. Blair remains optimistic, highlighting strong order trends in bioprocessing and market share gains in molecular diagnostics. But the numbers tell a different storyQ1 2024 revenue was already down 2.5% year-over-year, with core revenue slipping 4%. Looking ahead, management expects Q2 core revenue to drop mid-single digits, with full-year revenue shrinking in the low-single digits. The market, used to Danaher outperforming, isn't reacting well to this softer outlook.

Danaher isn't cheapit trades at 31 times expected 2025 earnings, well above the S&P 500's 22x multiple. Investors expect flawless execution, and the company has historically beaten estimates by nearly 10%. Citi analyst Patrick Donnelly is still bullish with a $285 target but flagged weaker-than-expected growth and margins. With 83% of analysts rating the stock a Buy, confidence is still therebut if Danaher can't turn guidance into growth, investors might start looking elsewhere.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

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