Investors can buy low cost index fund if they want to receive the average market return. But across the board there are plenty of stocks that underperform the market. That's what has happened with the The Clorox Company (NYSE:CLX) share price. It's up 12% over three years, but that is below the market return. Zooming in, the stock is up just 1.5% in the last year.
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
See our latest analysis for Clorox
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Over the last three years, Clorox failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 6.3% (annualized).
The strong decline in earnings per share suggests the market isn't using EPS to judge the company. So we'll need to take a look at some different metrics to try to understand why the share price remains solid.
Do you think that shareholders are buying for the 0.9% per annum revenue growth trend? We don't. While we don't have an obvious theory to explain the share price rise, a closer look at the data might be enlightening.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
Clorox is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. If you are thinking of buying or selling Clorox stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Clorox the TSR over the last 3 years was 24%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
Clorox provided a TSR of 4.8% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 2% per year over five year. This could indicate that the company is winning over new investors, as it pursues its strategy. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Clorox better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Clorox (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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