Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But investors can boost returns by picking market-beating companies to own shares in. To wit, the Singapore Telecommunications Limited (SGX:Z74) share price is 35% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 16% (not including dividends) in the same period. So that should have shareholders smiling. The longer term returns have not been as good, with the stock price only 27% higher than it was three years ago.
So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
See our latest analysis for Singapore Telecommunications
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Over the last twelve months Singapore Telecommunications went from profitable to unprofitable. While some may see this as temporary, we're a skeptical bunch, and so we're a little surprised to see the share price go up. It may be that the company has done well on other metrics.
We haven't seen Singapore Telecommunications increase dividend payments yet, so the yield probably hasn't helped drive the share higher. And at a glance the languishing revenue does not impress, though a closer look might help explain the market optimism.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. You can see what analysts are predicting for Singapore Telecommunications in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Singapore Telecommunications' TSR for the last 1 year was 43%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
It's nice to see that Singapore Telecommunications shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 43% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 4%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Singapore Telecommunications you should be aware of.
We will like Singapore Telecommunications better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Singaporean exchanges.
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