With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.3x Zoom Communications Inc. (NASDAQ:ZM) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Recent times have been advantageous for Zoom Communications as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Zoom Communications
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Zoom Communications' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 288% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 21% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 0.2% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it concerning that Zoom Communications is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Zoom Communications' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Zoom Communications that you need to be mindful of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Zoom Communications. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Discover if Zoom Communications might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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