Shareholders might have noticed that AptarGroup, Inc. (NYSE:ATR) filed its full-year result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 8.9% to US$143 in the past week. The result was positive overall - although revenues of US$3.6b were in line with what the analysts predicted, AptarGroup surprised by delivering a statutory profit of US$5.53 per share, modestly greater than expected. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on AptarGroup after the latest results.

See our latest analysis for AptarGroup

Following the latest results, AptarGroup's six analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$3.68b in 2025. This would be a credible 2.8% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be US$5.53, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$3.74b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$5.64 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of US$183, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values AptarGroup at US$205 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$164. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that AptarGroup's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 2.8% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 5.2% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.4% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that AptarGroup is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$183, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for AptarGroup going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You can also view our analysis of AptarGroup's balance sheet, and whether we think AptarGroup is carrying too much debt, for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.