Twilio Beats on Revenue, Misses on EPS

Motley Fool
02-14
  • The fourth quarter was Twilio's first period of GAAP operating profitability.

  • Revenue from its smaller "Twilio segment" unit declined by 1% year over year.

  • Free cash flow decreased substantially.

Twilio (TWLO), operator of a prominent cloud communications platform, released its fourth-quarter earnings results on Feb. 13. The highlight of the period was that it achieved GAAP operating profitability for the first time. However, its non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $1.00 was slightly below analysts' consensus estimate of $1.03, while revenue stood at $1.195 billion, marginally ahead of estimates of $1.183 billion.

Twilio shares slumped 6% in after hours trading.

Overall, the quarter showcased progress in revenue and financial discipline, but challenges remain regarding cash flow and its smaller "Twilio segment" business unit.

Metric

Q4 2024

Q4 2024 Analysts' Estimate

Q4 2023

% Change

EPS (non-GAAP)

$1.00

$1.03

$0.86

16.3%

Revenue

$1.195 billion

$1.183 billion

$1.076 billion

11.0%

Non-GAAP income from operations

$197 million

N/A

$172.6 million

14.1%

Free cash flow

$93.5 million

N/A

$210.9 million

(55.7%)

Source: Analysts' estimates provided by FactSet.

Business Overview and Focus Areas

Twilio operates a diverse platform that combines communications APIs and customer data management, empowering businesses to personalize their customer engagements through messaging, voice, and email services. Its business is divided into two main units: communications and Twilio segment. Communications, by far the larger unit, focuses on providing APIs for messaging, voice, and user authentication. The Twilio segment business offers customer data capabilities enabling businesses to utilize first-party data for tailored interactions.

Recently, Twilio's focus has been on integrating AI and machine learning into its offerings through initiatives like CustomerAI, which aims to elevate user interactions with generative and predictive AI features. The company has also emphasized financial discipline and stock buybacks as part of its strategy to enhance shareholder value. Last month, it authorized a new $2 billion share repurchase program following the December completion of its prior $3 billion program. It has also been working to expand its international presence.

Quarterly Highlights

The fourth quarter featured a mix of achievements and challenges for Twilio. The company achieved its first GAAP operating profit, moving from a $361.7 million loss in the prior-year period to a $13.7 million profit. Additionally, revenue growth continued, with communications revenue rising by 12% to $1.12 billion. However, Twilio segment revenue declined by 1% to $75.1 million.

Twilio reported a dollar-based net expansion rate of 106%, up from 102% a year ago, demonstrating improved upselling and cross-selling. It also exceeded management's revenue guidance range of $1.150 billion to $1.160 billion with an actual revenue of $1.195 billion, driven by stronger-than-expected sales in the core communication unit.

On the operational side, Twilio's investments in AI and machine learning drove momentum for future innovations in customer interaction and engagement tools. However, free cash flow noticeably declined from $210.9 million last year to $93.5 million this quarter.

Future Outlook

Twilio's management maintained a cautiously optimistic stance with guidance for 2025 projecting organic revenue growth of 7% to 8% and non-GAAP income from operations of between $825 million and $850 million. For the first quarter of 2025, Twilio expects revenue of $1.13 billion to $1.14 billion.

Investors should watch for developments in Twilio's AI initiatives as CustomerAI could significantly boost its customer engagement capabilities. Twilio's strategic focus on international expansion and tailored customer solutions will further influence its performance in the upcoming quarters.

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