Shareholders might have noticed that OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:OSW) filed its full-year result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 5.9% to US$21.15 in the past week. OneSpaWorld Holdings reported US$895m in revenue, roughly in line with analyst forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.69 beat expectations, being 3.8% higher than what the analysts expected. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for OneSpaWorld Holdings

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from OneSpaWorld Holdings' five analysts is for revenues of US$959.4m in 2025. This reflects a credible 7.2% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to increase 7.7% to US$0.76. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$966.9m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.77 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of US$23.25, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values OneSpaWorld Holdings at US$25.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$22.00. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that OneSpaWorld Holdings' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 7.2% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 30% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 10% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that OneSpaWorld Holdings is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on OneSpaWorld Holdings. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple OneSpaWorld Holdings analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 1 warning sign for OneSpaWorld Holdings that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.