• Fourth Quarter Loss Per Share: $0.06 per share loss in Q4 2024 compared to flat in Q4 2023.
• Full Year Earnings Per Share: $5.24 per share for 2024, an increase of $0.83 from 2023.
• Customer Growth: 2.1% for the full year 2024, slightly above the midpoint of the guidance range.
• Sales Growth: 5.7% for the full year 2024, driven by residential sales growth of 1.1% and C&I segment growth of 9.7%.
• Weather Normalized Sales Growth: 5.5% in Q4 2024.
• 2025 Sales Growth Guidance: 4% to 6%, with C&I customers contributing 3% to 5%.
• Capital Investment: Over 40% of future capital investments tracked via system reliability benefit surcharge or FERC formula rates.
• Long-term EPS Growth Guidance: 5% to 7% based on the midpoint of the original 2024 guide of $4.60 to $4.80 per share.

• Warning! GuruFocus has detected 12 Warning Signs with PNW.

Release Date: February 25, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

• Pinnacle West Capital Corp (NYSE:PNW) achieved a constructive outcome in their last rate case, with the commission committed to reducing regulatory lags.
• The company reported zero serious injuries or fatalities in 2024, highlighting their commitment to safety.
• Pinnacle West Capital Corp (NYSE:PNW) set a new peak energy demand record, demonstrating strong operational performance during extreme weather conditions.
• The Palo Verde Generating Station achieved a capacity factor of 93.7%, maintaining high efficiency and reliability.
• The company experienced strong customer and sales growth, with a 5.7% increase in sales for 2024, driven by both residential and commercial segments.

Negative Points

• Pinnacle West Capital Corp (NYSE:PNW) reported a loss of $0.06 per share in Q4 2024, compared to a flat result in Q4 2023.
• Increases in O&M, D&A, and debt financing costs negatively impacted financial performance.
• The company faces challenges with regulatory lag, which they are working to address through future rate cases.
• Share dilution from equity issuance was a negative factor affecting financial results.
• The company anticipates a lengthy process for implementing formula rates, which could delay financial benefits.

Q & A Highlights

Q: With respect to the Arizona Corporation Commission (ACC), how do you think about a test case being able to be settled, and do you need to fully litigate to implement formula rates? A: Theodore Geisler, President of Arizona Public Service Co., explained that while settlements can lead to good outcomes, they are preparing for a litigated case, especially since the filing will likely include details around the formula rate plan. They are open to settlements if stakeholders align around a constructive outcome.

Q: How do you think about CapEx trends beyond the 2027 period, given the robust growth dynamics you're seeing? A: Andrew Cooper, CFO, noted that while they provide a three-year forecast, longer-dated projects like high voltage transmission and generation resources will extend beyond this period. They will look at capital allocation and the size of the capital envelope as they progress through the formula rate opportunity.

Q: Do you see an opportunity to increase your growth rate to the high end of 5% to 7% or above that range at some point? A: Andrew Cooper emphasized that their primary goal is to maintain a 5% to 7% growth rate with a smoother profile. They are focused on reducing regulatory lag and leaning into CapEx with more contemporaneous recovery.

Q: What is your confidence level in favorable legislation being passed for House Bill 2201, which addresses wildfire mitigation plans? A: Theodore Geisler stated that while it's early in the process, they support the bill along with many organizations. It aims to establish guidelines for wildfire prevention, and they see forward momentum and progress.

Q: How will the timing work for implementing formula rates if the commission supports them as part of the filing? A: Theodore Geisler explained that the next case will look like a traditional rate case with a historic test year. If it includes a formula rate plan, it could be implemented a year after the case concludes, allowing for cost adjustments based on the formula.

Q: What are your thoughts on ROE in the context of the formula rate plan? A: Theodore Geisler mentioned that they don't envision ROE being a different factor in a formula rate. They will demonstrate an appropriate ROE to attract capital and work with the commission on maintaining it in a future formula rate construct.

Q: Is there an opportunity to shift CapEx between distribution and generation if you get formula rate plan authorization? A: Andrew Cooper indicated that they will look at capital allocation among business lines and the overall capital spend size, supported by credit metrics and financing plans, if formula rates are adopted.

Q: What are the decision points for new nuclear projects, and how do you see the decision tree for SMRs? A: Theodore Geisler stated that they are in an assessment period, collaborating with utility partners to evaluate suitable locations and technologies. They are monitoring technology and supply side maturity, with decision criteria becoming clearer as developments progress.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.