Redox Limited (ASX:RDX) has announced that it will pay a dividend of A$0.06 per share on the 25th of March. This means the annual payment is 4.1% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
See our latest analysis for Redox
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. At the time of the last dividend payment, Redox was paying out a very large proportion of what it was earning and 159% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows can expose the business to needing to cut the dividend if the business runs into some challenges.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 24.1%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 33% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
It is tough to make a judgement on how stable a dividend is when the company hasn't been paying one for very long. This doesn't mean that the company can't pay a good dividend, but just that we want to wait until it can prove itself.
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. Earnings per share has been sinking by 59% over the last five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Redox that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Redox not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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