Litecoin (LTC) has encountered a persistent challenge over the past three months, failing to break above the key resistance at $136. Despite recent attempts to breach this barrier, the altcoin has struggled to maintain upward momentum.
While some believe a breakthrough is imminent, a lack of investor support suggests the price may face further declines.
Litecoin’s Long-Term Holders (LTHs) have not shown substantial bullish behavior recently, according to the Mean Coin Age (MCA) indicator. The lack of a noticeable uptick suggests minimal accumulation, leaving the market stagnant. If the MCA indicator were to show a significant downtick, it could signal that LTHs are selling off their holdings, which would be a bearish sign. However, since this is not happening, Litecoin may avoid a sharp crash but still struggles to attract long-term investment.
Without stronger conviction from LTHs, Litecoin may continue its sideways movement without a significant rally. This minimal accumulation by investors who typically dictate long-term trends leaves the altcoin vulnerable to remaining stuck in the same range without meaningful progress. Until LTHs show more interest, substantial gains for Litecoin seem unlikely.
The overall macro momentum for Litecoin is being heavily influenced by the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator, which has struggled to stay above the zero line for the past two months. The lack of inflows has hindered Litecoin’s ability to rally sharply. Although the CMF has shown some signs of upward movement recently, it has yet to signal a sustained rise, leaving the altcoin in a state of indecision.
Since the start of the year, Litecoin’s price has remained relatively flat, with the absence of strong market inflows contributing to its stagnation. The CMF’s continued struggle to break above zero reflects broader market hesitancy toward Litecoin. While the recent uptick provides some hope, whether this momentum can be sustained remains uncertain.
Currently, Litecoin is trading at $129, reflecting a 13% rise over the last 24 hours. This uptick has brought the altcoin closer to the critical resistance of $136, which it has struggled to breach for the past three months. The current price movement suggests that Litecoin may attempt another rally, but the same factors that caused previous failures remain.
Should Litecoin fail to breach the $136 resistance, the price could fall back to $117, with further support at $105. A decline below these levels would signal a continuation of the downtrend, keeping Litecoin stuck below key resistance for an extended period.
If Litecoin successfully breaks above the $136 resistance and flips it into support, a significant rally could follow. The next target would be $147, just under the psychological $150 price point. Reaching this target would invalidate the bearish outlook and could set Litecoin on a path toward even higher prices.
免责声明:投资有风险,本文并非投资建议,以上内容不应被视为任何金融产品的购买或出售要约、建议或邀请,作者或其他用户的任何相关讨论、评论或帖子也不应被视为此类内容。本文仅供一般参考,不考虑您的个人投资目标、财务状况或需求。TTM对信息的准确性和完整性不承担任何责任或保证,投资者应自行研究并在投资前寻求专业建议。